FluCast

Influenza Forecast

Predictive analytics for U.S. seasonal flu activity

CDC LIVE
2026-W21
ML · CDC ILINET
DEMO DATA · SIMULATED CDC FEED

Machine Learning
Epidemiological
Forecasting

Predictive influenza analytics platform — refreshed weekly from CDC FluView surveillance.

Latest CDC:2026-W21· retrained May 31, 00:00 UTC

CDC Sync Status

Simulated CDC ILINet feed

DEMO
Latest CDC week
2026-W21
Last sync
May 30, 18:00 UTC
Model retrained
May 31, 00:00 UTC
Source
Demo feed

Using deterministic simulated ILINet data. Connect a live CDC source to enable real-time forecasting.

Next Week ILI
1.23%
1.27 vs baseline
Peak Forecast
W221.2%
Model Confidence
91%
Latest CDC Week
W211.36%

Forecast Projection

26-week historical + 12-week forecast with 95% CI

LOW

Weekly Outbreak Risk

Next 12 epidemiological weeks

W22
1.23%
LOW
W23
1.21%
LOW
W24
1.16%
LOW
W25
1.16%
LOW
W26
1.09%
LOW
W27
1.15%
LOW
W28
1.17%
LOW
W29
1.20%
LOW

AI Epidemiological Insights

  • Influenza activity is projected to remain below the outbreak threshold of 4.5% in the upcoming epidemiological week.
  • Peak forecast activity is expected around Week 22 at 1.23% ILI.
  • Latest CDC reported ILI is 1.36% — a -0.13 pp change forecast for next week.
  • Temperature shows an inverse correlation with ILI activity (r ≈ −0.62) across the trailing 5 seasons.
  • Model confidence remains stable across the selected forecast horizon (avg CI width ±0.68 pp).

Public Health Guidance

  • Maintain routine influenza surveillance and weekly CDC sync.
  • Prepare for increased activity during projected peak weeks.
  • Consider vaccination outreach before the seasonal rise.
  • Monitor high-risk weeks more closely for hospitalization capacity.

For academic and public health analytics purposes only. Forecasts are estimates based on available surveillance data and should not replace official CDC guidance.